Iran Conflict : Endgame or a list of scenarios
During this week the dynamics of Iran conflict as an operation not WAR unfolded. Military strategy, economic resources, regional/global implications, social and cultural dynamics, historical context, human and environmental costs, public opinion are factors. Assuming capabilities remain unchanged during wars is not advisable, it is a variable as war unfolds, re-calibration is critical. Keep in mind, there is no end game except shaking up the existing order from its foundations, as a possible most likely outcome. As this war despite its ramifications is an attempt to push a regular existing conflict( happened last year) zone for systemic shake up. It is a big factor. Big factor two : The shelf life of postures and deterrence available to regional powers has eroded and escalation by great power is the name of the game. The 'super' powers have the strategic wherewithal to breach the threshold of deterrence of lesser powers and have shown increasing inclination to do so. Location ...